Golf is finally back, and with it, the unparalleled wacky world of golf DFS. While gamblers, fantasy players, and golf fans will all be rejoicing, it's fair to say golf writers will be doing just the same.
Last week, the content was so dry for golf journalists that one of the biggest and best golf websites resorted to this odd piece to fill the void:
Unsurprisingly, that comparison between Woods and McIlroy's peaks set Twitter ablaze with ridicule and confusion and led to hilarious comebacks such as the following:
Golf Twitter remains undefeated.
It's been three months since the Players Championship was cancelled after round one, but we're finally back in action at this week's Charles Schwab Challenge. No offence to the Charles Schwab Challenge (well, maybe a little), in a typical year there wouldn't be 16 of the world's top 20 in attendance - which is what we have this week.
I've spoken to both golf DFS professionals and amateurs alike over the past few days - the consensus in regards to this week is the following: nobody has a clue what is going to happen or how even to approach things.
But in true degenerate fashion, that's not going to put us off attaining four days of pleasure and pain on DraftKings or with bookmakers.
My approach for this week is simple: focusing on course suitability, and history. Colonial is a small, tight course which will inhibit the longer hitters a little. A draw off the tee is also beneficial as so many of the holes here at Colonial require a right to left shot shape - for the right-hander that is.
From the top of the board, there are the likes of Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Brooks Koepka, JT, DJ, Rickie Fowler.......and Webb Simpson, A.K.A the Birdman of Alcatraz.
Webb is the only man who can win a U.S. Open and manage to get upstaged by a man impersonating a chicken in his victory presentation - but just like at Olympic Club that week, he's the perfect man to foil the biggest names this week.
Already a winner this year, Webb's course history at Colonial shows how much he's suited to this track - finishing T3 here in 2016, and 5th in 2017. Over his last 50 rounds, Simpson also ranks third in this week's field in Strokes Gained: Short Game, sixth in Strokes Gained: Approach and second in Strokes Gained: Putting. He's got the perfect game to be in the thick of it come Sunday, and he's big value at under $10,000 on DraftKings.
My next two from the lower end of the top are two of the best players in the world...until Sunday's at least. Finau and Fowler, whatever it is about the day Sunday it's a continuous struggle. Until maybe now. Where's the logic, you say? Well, there's no fans at this week's event, therefore, potentially less pressure.
Finau has finished in the top-10 six times in his last ten events, while Fowler looked super sharp at the TaylorMade Driving Relief. I like Rickie a lot this week, and it's rare to see Finau priced under $9,000, and he's just the ideal DraftKings player if you can get passed the whole not winning thing.
Here is where it gets very interesting - the middle of the board.
Only lunatics play Jordan Spieth in DFS contests these days, but I think a lot of those lunatics will be on his side this week, including myself. Jordan is the Colonial King, winning here in 2016 and he is by far, and ahead the strokes gained leader at this event in recent history. In fact, it's his favorite non-major course:
We're playing Jordan and buckling ourselves in for whatever that may hold.
Staying with the middle of the board, Abraham Ancer is a man who I expect to have a big end of year, starting here at Colonial. His form may not be anything special at Colonial, and he may have spent his time doing unusual things during quarantine (case in point below)...
....but he has the perfect game for the course. A great ball striker who ranks 15th in Strokes Gained: Total in this week's field over the last 24 rounds. The Mexican is not only my favorite value play this week at a measly $7,300, but, and I'm going to say it, he can WIN this week.
Well, what can I say, at this stage, just like everyone else building a team this week, we're getting desperate. But there are two men I do like at $7,200 and below. The first? Enter BUBBA.
Watson rarely plays Colonial, and he won't be able just to bomb it off the tee. But, he can use that little lefty fade he loves on so many holes and can defy his price this week and compete well like he does year on year out at another short course event - The Travelers.
Below $7,000 is like looking in a trash can for a jewel, but look what I've found at $6,800 - a multiple major champion lurking in the form of Zach Johnson.
Two missed cuts from both of his past two visits, and not much form to speak of...but what do you expect for $6,800!? It's still a course where so many of the hole shapes suit his draw, and I honestly feel he just needs a good ball-striking week to make a mockery of that price. He's won here twice when in his prime and holds the low score 72 hole record. He's can turn it on at Colonial and I think he will (once he stops hitting it like a 15-handicapper).
One and Done Pick:
Alternate One and Done Pick:
7 Best Value Draftkings Picks:
Webb Simpson $9,800
Rickie Fowler $9,400
Tony Finau $9,700
Jordan Spieth $8,000
Abraham Ancer $7,300
Bubba Watson $7,200
Zach Johnson $6,800